Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Bannon's Strategy: Shock Event

For the first time here, I'm posting someone else's ideas.  

From Heather Richardson, professor of History at Boston College.  She posted it on her FB page on Jan 29, 2017.

"I don't like to talk about politics on Facebook-- political history is my job, after all, and you are my friends-- but there is an important non-partisan point to make today. What Bannon is doing, most dramatically with last night's ban on immigration from seven predominantly Muslim countries-- is creating what is known as a "shock event." Such an event is unexpected and confusing and throws a society into chaos. People scramble to react to the event, usually along some fault line that those responsible for the event can widen by claiming that they alone know how to restore order. When opponents speak out, the authors of the shock event call them enemies. As society reels and tempers run high, those responsible for the shock event perform a sleight of hand to achieve their real goal, a goal they know to be hugely unpopular, but from which everyone has been distracted as they fight over the initial event. There is no longer concerted opposition to the real goal; opposition divides along the partisan lines established by the shock event.


Last night's Executive Order has all the hallmarks of a shock event. It was not reviewed by any governmental agencies or lawyers before it was released, and counterterrorism experts insist they did not ask for it. People charged with enforcing it got no instructions about how to do so. Courts immediately have declared parts of it unconstitutional, but border police in some airports are refusing to stop enforcing it. Predictably, chaos has followed and tempers are hot.

My point today is this: unless you are the person setting it up, it is in no one's interest to play the shock event game. It is designed explicitly to divide people who might otherwise come together so they cannot stand against something its authors think they won't like.


I don't know what Bannon is up to-- although I have some guesses-- but because I know Bannon's ideas well, I am positive that there is not a single person whom I consider a friend on either side of the aisle-- and my friends range pretty widely-- who will benefit from whatever it is.


If the shock event strategy works, though, many of you will blame each other, rather than Bannon, for the fallout. And the country will have been tricked into accepting their real goal.  But because shock events destabilize a society, they can also be used positively. We do not have to respond along old fault lines. We could just as easily reorganize into a different pattern that threatens the people who sparked the event.  A successful shock event depends on speed and chaos because it requires knee-jerk reactions so that people divide along established lines. This, for example, is how Confederate leaders railroaded the initial southern states out of the Union.


If people realize they are being played, though, they can reach across old lines and reorganize to challenge the leaders who are pulling the strings. This was Lincoln's strategy when he joined together Whigs, Democrats, Free-Soilers, anti-Nebraska voters, and nativists into the new Republican Party to stand against the Slave Power.  Five years before, such a coalition would have been unimaginable. Members of those groups agreed on very little other than that they wanted all Americans to have equal economic opportunity. Once they began to work together to promote a fair economic system, though, they found much common ground. They ended up rededicating the nation to a "government of the people, by the people, and for the people."  Confederate leaders and Lincoln both knew about the political potential of a shock event. As we are in the midst of one, it seems worth noting that Lincoln seemed to have the better idea about how to use it."

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Time for the 25th

Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the Constitution allows for removal of a US President who is unable to discharge his duties.

On January 10, 2017 I sent this email to my father when he pointed out that DJT isn't the Oval's first narcissist:
**************************************************
Dear Dad,

"Narcissism and "narcissitic personality disorder" are different.  

I've met plenty of narcissists but from my observation of DJT (and in spite of my total lack of psychological training) I say he's a wonderful match for narcissistic personality disorder.  Here is the Diagnostic & Statistical Manual 5 (DSM) definition of "narcissistic personality disorder".  As you may know, DSM is the definitive guidebook for classifying mental and emotional disorders used by all providers and payers: We've all seen all of these in DJT.

"The essential features of a personality disorder are impairments in personality (self and interpersonal) functioning and the presence of pathological personality traits. To diagnose narcissistic personality disorder, the following criteria must be met: 

A. Significant impairments in personality functioning manifest by: 

1. Impairments in self functioning (a or b): a. Identity: Excessive reference to others for self-definition and self-esteem regulation; exaggerated self-appraisal may be inflated or deflated, or vacillate between extremes; emotional regulation mirrors fluctuations in self-esteem. b. Self-direction: Goal-setting is based on gaining approval from others; personal standards are unreasonably high in order to see oneself as exceptional, or too low based on a sense of entitlement; often unaware of own motivations. 
AND 2. Impairments in interpersonal functioning (a or b): a. Empathy: Impaired ability to recognize or identify with the feelings and needs of others; excessively attuned to reactions of others, but only if perceived as relevant to self; over- or underestimate of own effect on others. b. Intimacy: Relationships largely superficial and exist to serve self-esteem regulation; mutuality constrained by little genuine interest in others‟ experiences and predominance of a need for personal gain 

B. Pathological personality traits in the following domain: 1. Antagonism, characterized by: a. Grandiosity: Feelings of entitlement, either overt or covert;self-centeredness; firmly holding to the belief that one is better than others; condescending toward others. b. Attention seeking: Excessive attempts to attract and be the focus of the attention of others; admiration seeking. 

C. The impairments in personality functioning and the individual‟s personality trait expression are relatively stable across time and consistent across situations. 

D. The impairments in personality functioning and the individual‟s personality trait expression are not better understood as normative for the individual‟s developmental stage or socio-cultural environment. 

E. The impairments in personality functioning and the individual‟s personality trait expression are not solely due to the direct physiological effects of a substance (e.g., a drug of abuse, medication) or a general medical condition (e.g., severe head trauma)."
**************************************************************

I see nearly every criteria met by DJT's behavior every day.  The analysis of DJT in this piece raises his disease to an ever more dire level, classifying it as "malignant narcissism"

So it's not too soon to begin putting the 25th Amendment into action.

Monday, January 23, 2017

#POTUSLIES

Since Donald J. Trump announced his candidacy he's been lying.  Some friends in the GOP have asked me to wait until he's President to pass judgment.  Watch his actions, they say, if he wins. OK.  He's POTUS.  Herewith, the lies that have started to flow from him and his administration.*

January 24, 2017: WashPo reports that #POTUSLIES when he says he'd have won the popular vote were it not for non-existent voter fraud.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/01/23/at-white-house-trump-tells-congressional-leaders-3-5-million-illegal-ballots-cost-him-the-popular-vote/?utm_term=.a3d91a2bc9ee&wpisrc=nl_az_most

January 23, 2017:  CBSNews reports that #POTUSLIES by packing CIA audience with friends and allies who cheered, thereby lying to the cameras about support for him from the assemblage and the agency in general.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/sources-say-theres-a-sense-of-unease-in-intel-community-after-trump-cia-visit/

January 23, 2017 WSJ: WHITE HOUSE BACKS 'ALTERNATIVE FACTS'

http://www.wsj.com/articles/white-house-backs-alternative-facts-1485144074

I love this headline. It quotes Kelleyanne Conway in an interview on MEET THE PRESS saying that Sean Spicer wasn't lying when he said DJT's inauguration crowd was the biggest in history, he was merely referencing alternative facts.  That's a perfect insight into DJTWorld.  There are no truths.  There is not objective reality.  There are only a selection of "facts" from which we pick while drafting the narrative (today's word for fiction).

How #POTUSLIES in this story is simple:  all objective data prove that fewer people attended his inauguration than BO's first inauguration.  The WSJ story documents it nicely.  Sean Spicer on camera in front of the WH press corps lied that DJT's crowd was bigger than BOs because DC Metro ridership was higher.  That's not an alternative fact.  It's a lie the WSJ documents.

Here's the disturbing part.  We think reality TV is actually real.  We now have a POTUS who was born of reality TV.  Reality TV is not real.  It's fake.  It's fiction.  It's entertainment.

Next up:  Non-fiction and Fiction sections of libraries to merge.

* (I use the term POTUS here as shorthand for the entire Administration, because while the fish stinks from the head you will start smelling the lies further down the body.)

Second source for these lies is here: http://www.politico.com/blogs/donald-trump-administration/2017/01/trumps-press-secretary-just-told-4-whoppers-in-5-minutes-233984

Thursday, January 5, 2017

Trump 'Lies' and Honest Journalism

I trust you saw this.  If you haven't, and you can get into the piece at WSJ.com, it's worth your time.  Gerald Baker, Editor in Chief goes to great lengths to make this point:  Journalism isn't supposed to tell you if a candidate is a liar, it's only supposed to give you the facts and let you decide if the candidate is a liar.  Baker says:

"To refrain from labeling leaders’ statements as lies is to support an unrelenting but not omniscient press, one that trusts readers’ judgments rather than presenting judgments to them. If we routinely make these kinds of judgments, readers would start to see our inevitably selective use of a moral censure as partisanship. We must not only be objective. We must be seen to be objective to continue to earn our readers’ trust."

Here's the problem with Baker's argument: because he and the leading conservative press think they're only writing for their primary reader -- people who actually can make sound judgements about the character of guys like Trump-- the WSJ and their ilk allowed Trump's ascension by not branding him a lying BS artist in month 1 of his campaign.  Their assumption about their audience is dead wrong: they're not just writing for their primary reader.  Rather they are setting the standard, the tone, and the agenda for the conservative press.  If a scion like the WSJ had called Trump what he really is -- a liar -- Fox and other outlets likely would've followed suit.

WSJ's primary readers generally don't buy DJT's BS.  We knew he didn't believe it when he said Mexico is sending us rapists and drug dealers; he was merely playing to the crowd to get their ire up and grab headlines.  He was deceiving his base to achieve an objective.  This BS became the core of his campaign.  

He said we should kill the families of terrorists....and on and on.  When he said during his debate with HRC that he'd hire a special prosecutor to put her in jail, he was lying -- speaking a falsehood in order to deceive and achieve his result.  Last month at a rally when "Lock her up" broke out he said, "That played well before the election but now we don't really care, right?"  

Unlike the WSJ's primary readers, Trumpeters -- the 40 million or so yahoos who generated the momentum that got him the nomination and scared the GOP into full support that gave him the platform for victory -- can't make that same sound judgement.  

  • They think The Apprentice is really how businesses run.  
  • They think Trump's a bona fide billionaire who made it on his own.  They don't know (or care) that the $2MM stake from his Dad would've been worth more than he is now had he put it in an index fund instead of losing untold millions on horrible business decisions. 
  • They think he really was just engaging in locker-room banter when he said he can grab a women's p---y anytime he wants.  Calling it "locker-room banter" was a falsehood intended to deceive. 
  • They REALLY THINK a guy who builds casinos and hotels has the acumen, the judgement, the temperment, the experience, and the education to be POTUS
Had the WSJ, The National Review, The Washington Examiner, FoxNews, and the rest of the true conservative media called Trump what he is -- a serial liar -- from month 1 instead of sucking on the teet of the ratings bonanza he drove, we'd be inaugurating Ted, or Jeb, or Marco in 15 days instead of the most dangerous person to move into the White House in the history of the American Experiment. 

Sadly, Baker has doubled down on the WSJ policy to let readers judge who the liars are.  And sadly, 40-50 million angry yahoos will continue to cheer for the reality show premiering Jan 20 at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.  Let's hope the ratings tank and the show gets cancelled.  Soon.